Wednesday, December 20, 2006

ENTREPRENEURS or DREAMERS, I -- SCOTT COOK

ENTREPRENEURS or DREAMERS, I -- SCOTT COOK

When Scott Cook was trying to decide whether to take up entrepreneurship, he surveyed hundreds of people who had started their own businesses. Their advice: If he decided to do it, he should fashion himself into an industry-inverting visionary. Okay, so it didn't quite happen that way. But with Cook, who in 1983 co-founded software giant Intuit, it seems that just about every eureka moment he's had has been buttressed by rigorous testing. Such meticulousness reflects Cook's training: He spent several years as a marketer at Procter & Gamble, where "they taught us to understand the customer."

Determined that Intuit, now a US$2 billion publicly held business, would follow that principle, Cook didn't act on his original hunches until he had talked to hundreds of potential customers. That research convinced him that there was indeed a market for money-management software, provided it was streamlined and simple instead of loaded with complex features. How right was he? By 1994, Intuit was poised to merge with Microsoft, a marriage the Justice Department ultimately scuttled. "I thought it would be exciting in some ways, but I probably wouldn't be with the combined company now had that happened," Cook says. "Founders have not done well when acquired by big, centralized companies like Microsoft."

Of course, Intuit itself has become a giant company, and Cook has adjusted his role accordingly, bringing in an outside CEO in 1994. "I recognized my skill set was holding the company back," says Cook, now chairman of Intuit's executive committee. To this day, he remains a believer in the all-too-rare art of listening. "It's amazing what people will tell you," he muses. What's equally amazing is what Cook has created by hearing them.

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I would describe the start of Intuit as more of a eureka insight than a moment. The moment is really just the beginning of a journey and, in fact, only a way station on that journey. But the centerpiece of it is an insight that challenges the common wisdom. It's when you implement that you end up revolutionizing an industry.

Most of our major businesses at Intuit are based on a eureka insight. Quicken was the first of those. It really came from two separate insights at two separate times. The first was when my wife complained about doing the bills, and it was her complaining about the bills that caused me to say, "Ding! This would be a great use for the computer." I thought that because of the inherent nature of the work and the inherent set of things that computers are good at. However, that was not a unique insight. There were a lot of other people who thought computers might be good for doing personal finance. In fact, when we launched Quicken there were roughly 25 other personal-finance products on the market. So the idea of using a computer to do finances was not novel, even in the very early days.

I had always toyed with starting a business. When I was in junior high I sold Christmas cards door-to-door to earn money. And in high school I looked at going into the cuff-link business. In college, at the University of Southern California, I ended up running a club that was really more like a business. In two years I took the ski club from having no leader and being bankrupt to being the largest campus organization at the university. When I was a consultant (at Bain), I toyed with the idea of going into the widnsurfing travel business. With a buddy of mine, we ran the first-- to my knowledge-- windsurfing package tour in the U.S. It was a great success. But it was not a business that appealed to me. It looked as if it would remain a boutiquey, small, custom business.

At about the same time, though, I listened to my wife's complaints about doing the bills. So the first of the two eureka insights was "Oh, wow, this is a good use of a computer." Computers could do this job well, whereas a lot of jobs that people were alleging computers would do well, they were actually poor at doing. Storing recipes was a truly stupid use of a computer. There were a lot of really bad ideas proposed for the use of computers by people who were non-insightful. What are computers best at? Numbers and data storage. And finance is all about numbers and storage, plus there's a high degree of repetition. The bills you pay go to the same people every month, in general. So once you've typed it in, you don't have to retype it.

But having the insight that finance is a good use for a computer was not the key to success. The key was the second insight I had, which came about from surveying customers. I got the phone book, called up households, and tried to understand what they did in their finances-- their likes and their dislikes. I picked mostly upscale neighborhoods, the kinds I thought would have computers at the time, which was 1982. And the insight that came out of that was that people weren't turned on by doing graphs or other fancy stuff. They just wanted to get the work done, and they wanted to do it as quickly and easily as possible. None of the software products on the market were designed to do that. They offered a huge amount of complexity, rather than being optimized for speed and ease. There was a whole belief that the more features you had, the better. The industry paradigm was wrong for this segment, for this purpose, for what customers wanted in personal finance.

Yet the products in the market did sell. In fact, the most complex ones actually tended to sell better. This seemed incongruous; something didn't fit. So the only way I could get to the bottom of that was to actually interview customers who were using the personal-finance software products. The companies in the industry wouldn't give me their names, of course. So I wound up calling people in the computer industry to find those who had tried personal-finance software. I called computer stores and I called people at computer magazines. Sixty-five percent of those in the computer industry whom I interviewed had tried personal-finance software. And 61 percent had tried it and quit. I asked, "Why did you quit?" And the answer was "It was too slow, too hard."

So we made Quicken fast and easy...

To be continued...

Credits: This article is extracted from the little book by the Editors of Fortune called Secrets of Greatness: Advice from the World's Top CEOs and Entrepreneurs, 2006.


sourced from http://www.wallstraits.com/main/viewarticle.php?id=1476

Thai Govt Reverses Some Cap Controls And Sows New Doubts

Thai Govt Reverses Some Cap Controls And Sows New Doubts
Thai authorities performed a swift U-turn on policy Tuesday, easing some of the capital controls they put in place a day earlier after the new rules sparked a rout in the local stock market.
19 December 2006

NEW YORK (Dow Jones) -- Thai authorities performed a swift U-turn on policy Tuesday, easing some of the capital controls they put in place a day earlier after the new rules sparked a rout in the local stock market.

While the sudden policy reversal will likely take the pressure off local assets, investors said the back-and-forth hardly builds confidence in a country which saw a military coup in September and whose economy may be facing tougher times ahead.

After repeated warnings about excessive strength in its currency, the baht, the Bank of Thailand announced Monday that all banks would have to lock up for one year 30% of capital inflows that aren't linked to trade, services or the repatriation of residents' offshore investments.

Any early withdrawal of the funds will result in a 10% tax payment on the face value of the investment. The new measure was to come into place Tuesday.

Thai policymakers said they were seeking to stem speculative inflows, especially in local debt instruments, which have lifted the baht to a nine-year high against the dollar. In a region where most currencies are kept weaker to benefit export-led economies, the appreciating baht threatened to become a real problem.

The reaction to the new controls was swift. Overnight, the Thai stock exchange tumbled 14.8% from the previous day at 622.14 points, sinking to its lowest levels since Oct. 2004. It was the single biggest day of selling since the Asian currency crisis of 1998. The sharp drop in the Thai stock market sparked a selloff in other regional markets.

The Thai baht dropped roughly 1% following the announcement of the controls while Thai credit default swaps - insurance-like contracts that offer investors protection against default - widened by around 10 basis points to around 30-35 basis points.

"In highly integrated global financial markets, you can't get away with unilateral action," of this type, said Hari Hariharan, chairman and chief executive officer at hedge fund NWI Management LP, that invests mainly in emerging markets.

Policymakers didn't prove tone-deaf to the market reaction. During the overnight session, Assistant Central Bank Governor Nitaya Pibulratanagit said that "after listening to (brokers), we must introduce measures to soften the rules quickly."

In something of an understatement, she admitted that the bank's "communication wasn't clear enough."

The U-turn came a little later, with Finance Minister Pridiyathorn Devakula announcing that stocks and foreign direct investment, but not debt instruments, will be exempted from the 30% withholding requirement.

While there is general relief about the policy reversal, the instability has caught the attention of international investors, said Scott MacDonald, co-head of research at Aladdin Capital in Stamford, Conn., which has $16 billion in assets under management.

"Something like this functions as a pin-prick of investors' confidence," he said.

"I think the bottom line is that it was a misstep," MacDonald said, adding that the government's attempt to play to a domestic audience on the currency issue had left them with "a policy black-eye."

Still, a New York-based trader of Asian American depositary receipts said the policy reversal should help the stock market rebound as much as 10% in the next few sessions.

"What it will probably do is ease some of the selling pressure on (the local Thai market), but it may not necessarily bring a lot of new buyers back in."

Some investors will likely stay away until there's more stability, he predicted.

"I think I'm going to hang on for a while because valuations are really cheap, but eventually I'm interested to sell,"said Federick Jiang, who manages $380 million in Asian equities at Waddell & Reed Investment Management in Kansas City.

He pegged Indonesia, China, Taiwan and Korea as markets with good opportunities that are less risky than Thailand.

Sourced http://www.fundsupermart.com/main/research/viewSector.tpl?lang=en&articleNo=5609